Tag Archives: recovery

“China’s imports of industrial metals are booming.”

I borrowed the title from a Globe & Mail article.  I first suggested buying into a metals recovery back in February suggesting Freeport (FCX) and Western Copper and Gold (WRN).  One name I’ve also bought into is not on anyone’s … Continue reading

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Two Canadian Retailers Poised for Renewed Growth

Retail sales continue to rebound despite the slow opening of the economy. Inevitably, many storefronts will not survive but those that do will be able to negotiate much more favorable terms when it comes to rent. The online capabilities of … Continue reading

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Corporate Bonds not out of the woods yet!

We’ve watched a bit of a bear market rally in stocks, but also saw the same short term narrowing of corporate bond spreads (the difference between the yield offered by corporate bonds versus the virtually risk-free government bonds or treasuries).  … Continue reading

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Fund flows drive markets, and they suggest many months of misery.

Having (with partners) founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can share some insights when it comes to timing markets.  Some say it’s impossible, but the data (and experience) suggest otherwise. For instance, just before the COVID-19 mayhem which … Continue reading

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The psychology of Market Meltdowns

Why would I want panic in markets?  It’s the first step towards recovery (but not the last). A true market meltdown (if this is one) starts with panic – and we’re not there yet. The following is a direct quote … Continue reading

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Lessons Learned from the Great Recession!

The following is a quote from the book I wrote as I rode my Harley across the heartland of America, contemplating the lessons I learned over 30 years as a money manager: “I picked two headlines published on June 30, … Continue reading

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Gurus cannot time markets? I’ll tell you who can!

Studies examining former market calls (like checking the rear view mirror) of experts suggest that the ability of ‘gurus’ to predict markets is less than 50%.  Slightly worse than flipping a coin.  In my book I pick on a couple of very … Continue reading

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A case for $120 WTI oil – and sharply higher stock prices.

Back in July I was surprised to notice that oil prices continued to remain firm during the odd 2011 summer months (an anomaly caused by strife in the Middle East) when ordinarily we experience softness in energy prices that time … Continue reading

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Why invest in resources if China is slowing?

Commodity prices lead economic data – they plummeted in anticipation of the current doldrums, and are now rising ahead of a global recovery. On October 24th, 2011 I posted the following: “Look for commodity stocks to continue to bounce in … Continue reading

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Gold & the gold stocks – the Great Divide!

I heard an analyst on a business talk show say that the price of gold (just north of $1600) is not being reflected in the prices of gold stocks.  No kidding!  He figures the stocks are being priced as if … Continue reading

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