Tag Archives: consensus

Is stock market going to tumble over the fiscal cliff?

I saw the following comment/question just the other day and was surprised since it was in response to a posting I initiated way back in August 2011 entitled “Is the market on thin ice?” The theme of the original commentary … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Ready to take on some investment risk? Instead ‘do the opposite!’

For decades I taught younger portfolio managers and trading professionals that the best investment strategy is always to “Do the Opposite.” Virtually every summer this would mean buying while others are selling and bids are few and far between; most … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Olympic Rally or the Real McCoy?

Back in early June, I posted Yogi Berra – as good an investment strategist as any! in which I suggested : “If financial turmoil continues unabated and rates remain extremely low, things could go very well for the stock markets, especially … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Spread for RISK narrowed; as predicted!

You might recall that in December I posted the adjacent chart, recommending that the spread between equity yields and treasuries was “NUTS” and a narrowing of the spread between more risk and less risk would favour stocks.  It remains in … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Why invest in resources if China is slowing?

Commodity prices lead economic data – they plummeted in anticipation of the current doldrums, and are now rising ahead of a global recovery. On October 24th, 2011 I posted the following: “Look for commodity stocks to continue to bounce in … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Great News! The consumer is miserable and shopping!

On August 31st, when we learned that consumer confidence had plummeted to rock bottom levels, I said (in the posting Consumer – lower confidence is GOOD news!): “What’s important, is that optimism concerning stock markets is far more warranted when … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment