Tag Archives: redemptions

Fund flows drive markets, and they suggest many months of misery.

Having (with partners) founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can share some insights when it comes to timing markets.  Some say it’s impossible, but the data (and experience) suggest otherwise. For instance, just before the COVID-19 mayhem which … Continue reading

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What a ‘tsunami’ of mutual fund redemptions will mean for markets.

Having founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can see the writing on the wall.  A wave of ETF selling has taken place (and will likely continue) because it’s easy to pull the trigger on a publicly traded fund.  … Continue reading

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Did your strategist predict this market? Get a new strategist!

Below is a commentary I published on March 8th. Like Warren Buffet, I was especially worried about the bond market. During the months before I posted the article, huge inflows into fixed income funds took place. Suddenly investors began selling … Continue reading

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The BIG Bernanke: Bond risk for the duration!

The infatuation of investors, retail and institutional alike with bonds has become ridiculous – more lust than love. The perception that there remains less risk in fixed income cannot be further from reality – especially because of the post-crisis distortions … Continue reading

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Don’t be fooled – it “is” a bond BUBBLE!

Are these folks shopping for US Treasuries? Thirty years ago, when I got my first job as an investment analyst (Canadian Pacific Pension Fund) the bond managers were a sad bunch. Rates had gradually climbed (i.e. bond portfolios kept losing … Continue reading

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