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Tag Archives: investor
Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
1 Comment
China? No need for worry in the year of the snake!
It’s the year of the snake, which seems appropriate since everyone is worried about the slowing of the Chinese economy. In previous posts, I’ve described why the economic course of action China has adopted is brilliant – the country’s only … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, BofA Merrill, china, class, confidence, country, direct, economic, economy, foreign, fund, growth, hedge, investment, investor, mal, malvin, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors, money, policy, security, sentiment, slowed, slowing, spooner, survey, U.S.$, US$
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Everyone expects a correction; they just haven’t caused one yet!
The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on investor expectations. Bear markets caused by recessions are easier to … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged ADP, Bear, bubble, commerce, correction, data, department, dividend, employment, expectations, factory, federal, Index, industrial, Institute of Supply Management, inventories, investor, investors, ISM, jobs, mal, malvin, manufacturing, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, orders, PMI, post-crisis, production, pullback, recessions, reserve, shipments, slowdown, spooner, strategists, system, yield
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Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, china, confidence, consumer, corporate, earnings, europe, expectations, growth, Index, inflation, interest rates, investment, investor, markets, money, P/E, S&P 500, stock, supply, treasuries, unemployment
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Is stock market going to tumble over the fiscal cliff?
I saw the following comment/question just the other day and was surprised since it was in response to a posting I initiated way back in August 2011 entitled “Is the market on thin ice?” The theme of the original commentary … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bearish, bonds, buy, cliff, coffers, consensus, deficits, experts, fiscal, fiscal cliff, government, guidebook, interest, investor, investors, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, politics, portfolio, rates, risk, s&p, S&P500, sell, spooner, stocks, strategists, values
1 Comment
AAPL Sauce – The downside of upside!
Back in July I published a commentary warning about the perils of following the herd into a much loved stock. The risk is not disimilar to my previous post concerning the current love affair of investors in general with bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged aapl, apple, asset, bonds, buyers, class, earnings, herd, investor, investors, iPad, iPod, malvin, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, motorola, MSI, price, probabilities, research in motion, rim, risk, sellers, sentiment, spooner, stock
3 Comments
Institutional Investors missed the boat….yet again!
Just back from a nice ride on a rented Harley-Davidson motorcycle (in beautiful Arizona), I can’t say that I’m back in the swing of things just yet, but it sure did clear my head. Oh, and an occasional break does … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged cash, companies, correction, crisis, europe, funds, global, growth, income, interest, investor, investors, macroeconomic, malvin, manager, market, markets, maverick, performance, performed, portfolio, products, rally, rates, risk, speak, spooner, stock, stocks, structured, U.S. economy, yields
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Fund flows point to continued strength in global equity markets!
Back in September I suggested that my favourite contrary leading indicator – the weighting devoted to equities by institutional investors – was pointing to an imminent rally in stock markets. Once again it proved robust. But what’s happened since then? … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged active, allocation, asset, assets, balanced, bonds, britain, cash, crisis, debt, diversification, equities, eurozone, fund, funds, indicators, industry, investor, investors, ISM, lemmings, mal, malvin, management, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mix, money, mutual, passive, professional, sovereign, spooner, stocks, weight, yield
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Maverick Investors Rally Site 