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Tag Archives: money
Hold on to your bond ETF’s: It’s a RECESSION!
There are a enough indicators to suggest we’re already ‘in’ a recession. But, you say, GDP stats that have been published remain positive. As I learned decades ago, historical data doesn’t tell us much – its published with a delay … Continue reading
Posted in bonds, markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bond market, bonds, EFT, interest rates, markets, money, mutual funds, strategy
1 Comment
China? No need for worry in the year of the snake!
It’s the year of the snake, which seems appropriate since everyone is worried about the slowing of the Chinese economy. In previous posts, I’ve described why the economic course of action China has adopted is brilliant – the country’s only … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, BofA Merrill, china, class, confidence, country, direct, economic, economy, foreign, fund, growth, hedge, investment, investor, mal, malvin, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors, money, policy, security, sentiment, slowed, slowing, spooner, survey, U.S.$, US$
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China’s Catch-22
I considered the title “bad news is good news” but it seems the phrase ‘Catch-22’ from Joseph Heller’s book is more appropriate. A dictionary describes it as “a problematic situation for which the only solution is denied by a circumstance … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged appreciate, Bank of America, bull, china, Chinese, Citibank, composite, credit, currency, DAP, debt, depreciate, economic, economy, exchange, expansion, exports, fertilizer, financing, goldman, greenback, growth, interest, investors, liquidity, loan, mal, malvin, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, Morgan, nitrogen, nomura, people's bank, rates, remnimbi, RMB, shanghai, spooner, treasuries, trillion, U.S.$, urea
1 Comment
Does divergence of stocks and commodities tell us anything at all?
I read a blurb from Business Insider – entitled One Of The Biggest Arguments Of Fed Haters Is Getting Obliterated Before Our Eyes – discussing the adjacent chart (published on May 15th) that still has me confused. Here is a … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, banks, basic, bernanke, business, commodities, curde, currency, easy, economy, equities, fed, financials, housing, Index, industry, insider, interest, investors, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, manufacturing, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, money, Ponzi, rails, rates, s&p, spooner, stimulus, stock, stocks, train, unemployment, west texas intermediate, wti, yield
1 Comment
Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, china, confidence, consumer, corporate, earnings, europe, expectations, growth, Index, inflation, interest rates, investment, investor, markets, money, P/E, S&P 500, stock, supply, treasuries, unemployment
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Gurus cannot time markets? I’ll tell you who can!
Studies examining former market calls (like checking the rear view mirror) of experts suggest that the ability of ‘gurus’ to predict markets is less than 50%. Slightly worse than flipping a coin. In my book I pick on a couple of very … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bearish, bloomberg, BNN, bonds, box, bullish, china, cnbc, corporate, crisis, cycle, economy, fed, fiscal, forecasts, growth, guru, gurus, investors, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, popular, popularity, predict, predictions, recovery, resource, S&P 500, spanish, spooner, squawk, stimulate, treasuries, unemployment, US$, yields
1 Comment
Why the price of gold skyrocketed and why it’s over!
Everyone is fascinated by the yellow metal. I’ve been to exploration sites as far north as Nunavut (by the Arctic Ocean) and south to operating mines in Chile. But determining what it’s worth remains a conundrum to all of us. The price … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, bullion, credit, demand, expectations, fund, funds, gold, government, history, inflation, interest, investors, liqidity, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, money, mutual, policy, price, rally, rates, resources, spooner, treasuries, US$
11 Comments
Rule #1 – Never Panic! Fiscal Cliff is not a crisis!
In my book it’s no accident that Chapter 1 is entitled Never Panic! What Crisis? Of course when writing the chapter I was referring to the financial crisis that enveloped us a few short years ago, but in my mind … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bernanke, black, capital, china, cliff, crash, crisis, Dow, economy, fed, financial, fiscal, gain, global, guidebook, hedge, instiitutional, investing, investors, liquidity, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monday, money, mutual funds, panic, retail, spooner, stock, stocks, UK, US$
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Hiring…..? Go for the older guys! Part deux.
In an earlier but extremely popular posting entitled –Hiring Portfolio Managers? Go for the older guys! – I hinted that age discrimination, at least when it comes to the investment industry is a bad idea, even if it is endemic. I have no supporting … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged age, alpha, assets, Bear, bonds, buy, career, cash, client, committees, consulting, CPP, discrimination, experience, finance, fundamental, guidebook, guidelines, hiring, human, investment, investors, mal, malvin, management, managers, markets, maverick, modelling, money, panic, policy, portfolio, predict, professionals, quantitative, resources, risk, sell, spooner, statements, style, wealth
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Hiring Portfolio Managers? Go for the older guys!
Sir John Templeton Hiring ‘young’ fund managers? First read this quotable rant from a longtime friend of mine and accomplished money manager Rick Konrad: Unlike beauty queens who peak at 22, money managers become more desirable as they age (provided … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged age, aged, career, Carret, cycles, employment, experience, finance, Fisher, fund, hiring, investment, investors, Kahn, konrad, mal, malvin, managers, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, Neuberger, portfolio, richard, risk, seasoned, spooner, Templeton, younger
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Maverick Investors Rally Site 