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Tag Archives: bond market
Why Warren Buffett’s Moves are Bewildering.
Everyone is confused – He bought a bunch of airlines at their peak, and sold them all (was the normally undaunted investor suddenly in a panic?) at the bottom. “Fear is the most contagious disease you can imagine…” said Buffett … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, bond market, bonds, economy, maverickinvestors, recession, stock market, stocks, technology, valuations, warren buffett
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Consumer Sentiment – down but still not down enough.
Over many years I’ve marveled at how reliable consumer sentiment has been as a contrarian indicator. When it reaches rock bottom then the markets, followed by the economy begin to recover from a crisis – whether a recession or financial. … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bond market, confidence, consumer, consumption, economic data, economy, Index, indicators, maverickinvestors, recession, stock market, unemployment
2 Comments
Corporate Bonds not out of the woods yet!
We’ve watched a bit of a bear market rally in stocks, but also saw the same short term narrowing of corporate bond spreads (the difference between the yield offered by corporate bonds versus the virtually risk-free government bonds or treasuries). … Continue reading
Posted in bonds, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, bond market, bondholders, bonds, corporate, debt, earnings, economic data, economy, maverickinvestors, recession, recovery, spreads, stock market, treasuries
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Optimism markets will rebound fast is just wrong!
Apparently Goldman strategists expect profits for companies in the S&P 500 will decline 33% this year, and rebound 55% next year. It implies a V-shaped recovery. Let’s forget that 2021 is a long way off and that their guess is … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, bond market, crash, economic, economy, housing market, interest rates, markets, maverickinvestors, S&P 500, spooner, stock market
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What a ‘tsunami’ of mutual fund redemptions will mean for markets.
Having founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can see the writing on the wall. A wave of ETF selling has taken place (and will likely continue) because it’s easy to pull the trigger on a publicly traded fund. … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, bond market, coronavirus, global, international, mutual funds, redemptions, stock market
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The bonds that can lose your money!
I mentioned in an earlier article, published Feb. 24th, that even bonds and bond ETF’s are at risk in the current environment; primarily due to a phenomenon know as a widening of credit spreads. This is happening in a big … Continue reading
Posted in bonds, Random Thoughts
Tagged bond market, bondholders, bonds, corporate, ETF's, losses, maverickinvestors, portfolios, spooner, spreads, treasuries
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Why the market carnage? It’s expecting a period of “inflession” (I invented the word).
I’ve invented a new word for what’s coming: Inflession (add to dictionary) is a combination of recession and inflation, characterized by low unemployment and very low interest rates. Sound strange? The yield curve warned us months ago (when first inverted) … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bond market, economy, inflation, interest rates, malvin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, recession, spooner, stock market
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ls it the perfect storm? Did someone hit the sell everything button?
U.S. fund manager Peter Tchir sent a note to his clients entitled: “Did Someone Hit the Sell Everything Button?” His biggest concern (and everyone’s) is the sudden change in behavior – panic selling. Younger money managers likely haven’t experienced the … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts, stocks
Tagged bond market, coronavirus, gold, market, maverickinvestors.com maverick investment, panic, sellers, selling, stock market
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Bonds (ETF’s, Mutual Funds) at Risk even in a Recession
It’s very difficult to teach young adults about how bonds work – although I believe I’ve done a pretty good job of it. It’s even more difficult to educate adults that had an aversion to math when they were at … Continue reading
Posted in bonds, PERSONAL FINANCE, Random Thoughts
Tagged bond market, bonds, economy, ETF's, interest rates, recession, risk, spreads
1 Comment