Tag Archives: inflows

Fund flows drive markets, and they suggest many months of misery.

Having (with partners) founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can share some insights when it comes to timing markets.  Some say it’s impossible, but the data (and experience) suggest otherwise. For instance, just before the COVID-19 mayhem which … Continue reading

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The BIG Bernanke: Bond risk for the duration!

The infatuation of investors, retail and institutional alike with bonds has become ridiculous – more lust than love. The perception that there remains less risk in fixed income cannot be further from reality – especially because of the post-crisis distortions … Continue reading

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When to rotate into cyclicals? NOW!

I’ve been preaching for decades (and discussed in both my books ad nauseum) that the right thing to be doing at any point in time is the exact opposite of what everyone else is doing.  If it’s a difficult thing to … Continue reading

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Don’t be fooled – it “is” a bond BUBBLE!

Are these folks shopping for US Treasuries? Thirty years ago, when I got my first job as an investment analyst (Canadian Pacific Pension Fund) the bond managers were a sad bunch. Rates had gradually climbed (i.e. bond portfolios kept losing … Continue reading

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