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Tag Archives: crash
Optimism markets will rebound fast is just wrong!
Apparently Goldman strategists expect profits for companies in the S&P 500 will decline 33% this year, and rebound 55% next year. It implies a V-shaped recovery. Let’s forget that 2021 is a long way off and that their guess is … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, bond market, crash, economic, economy, housing market, interest rates, markets, maverickinvestors, S&P 500, spooner, stock market
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Rule #1 – Never Panic! Fiscal Cliff is not a crisis!
In my book it’s no accident that Chapter 1 is entitled Never Panic! What Crisis? Of course when writing the chapter I was referring to the financial crisis that enveloped us a few short years ago, but in my mind … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bernanke, black, capital, china, cliff, crash, crisis, Dow, economy, fed, financial, fiscal, gain, global, guidebook, hedge, instiitutional, investing, investors, liquidity, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monday, money, mutual funds, panic, retail, spooner, stock, stocks, UK, US$
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The FOLLY of Risk Management
Every closet economist knows that risk is the most difficult concept to put a number to. Most modelling relies on various (historic or predicted) estimates of volatility, but volatility is a very funny thing. We often forget, especially during economic … Continue reading
Consumer – lower confidence is GOOD news!
Consumer confidence is often mistaken as a leading indicator. My experience over many years is that the measure is used at times to rationalize irrational bullishness – when the brain says sell and take some profits, but the urge to splurge is … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 1987, 500, bottoms, bullish, bullishness, confidence, consumer, crash, economics, economy, Index, investors, lows, mal, malvin, market, maverick, s&p, sentiment, spooner, unemployement, valuations
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