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Tag Archives: yield
Who could have predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then. The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, capital spending, china, earnings, economy, emerging, energy, eurozone, forecast, global, Greece, industry, inflation, Latvia, malvin, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, outlook, P/E, railways, S&P 500, seekingalpha.com, shale, spooner, stock market, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
4 Comments
Who predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then. The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading
Posted in GOLD & COMMODITIES, Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, capital spending, china, earnings, economy, emerging, energy, eurozone, forecast, global, Greece, industry, inflation, Latvia, malvin, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, outlook, P/E, railways, S&P 500, seekingalpha.com, shale, spooner, stock market, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
4 Comments
Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
1 Comment
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
8 Comments
Does divergence of stocks and commodities tell us anything at all?
I read a blurb from Business Insider – entitled One Of The Biggest Arguments Of Fed Haters Is Getting Obliterated Before Our Eyes – discussing the adjacent chart (published on May 15th) that still has me confused. Here is a … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, banks, basic, bernanke, business, commodities, curde, currency, easy, economy, equities, fed, financials, housing, Index, industry, insider, interest, investors, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, manufacturing, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, money, Ponzi, rails, rates, s&p, spooner, stimulus, stock, stocks, train, unemployment, west texas intermediate, wti, yield
1 Comment
Everyone expects a correction; they just haven’t caused one yet!
The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on investor expectations. Bear markets caused by recessions are easier to … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged ADP, Bear, bubble, commerce, correction, data, department, dividend, employment, expectations, factory, federal, Index, industrial, Institute of Supply Management, inventories, investor, investors, ISM, jobs, mal, malvin, manufacturing, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, orders, PMI, post-crisis, production, pullback, recessions, reserve, shipments, slowdown, spooner, strategists, system, yield
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Rising i-rates: More than bonds will get hammered!
In a recent “Investor Alert” the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) warned the investing public: If you have money in a bond fund that holds primarily long-term bonds, expect the value of that fund to decline, perhaps significantly, when interest … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bank, bernanke, bond, business, central banks, credit, crisis, distribution, dividends, durations, easy, energy, financial, FINRA, flows, fund, growth, income, industrials, interest, investors, iShares, mal, malvin, materials, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mutual funds, net, policy, rates, rising, risk, sales, sensitivity, spooner, stimulative, stocks, telecommunication services, trust, US$, utilities, value, yield
1 Comment
The BIG Bernanke: Bond risk for the duration!
The infatuation of investors, retail and institutional alike with bonds has become ridiculous – more lust than love. The perception that there remains less risk in fixed income cannot be further from reality – especially because of the post-crisis distortions … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bernanke, big, bonds, cohen, committiees, commodities, coupon, duration, endowment, equities, fixed, flows, FOMC, funds, government, holdings, income, inflows, institutional, investors, lebowski, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, market, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors, maverickinvestors.com, of, operation twist, pension, rate, redemptions, retail, return, sensitivity, spooner, stock, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
3 Comments
The ‘bonds’ are back in town? Don’t be fooled!
Back on June 4th, in my commentary suggesting Yogi Berra (“When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”) would make a great investment strategist I thought at the time we were indeed at a fork in the … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 10-year, 30-year, analysis, analysts, bond market, bondholders, bonds, china, correction, discount, dressing, europe, growth, Index, interest, investors, malvin, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, overbought, overvalued, predicted, price, projected, range, rates, returns, s&p, S&P 500, S&P500, spooner, statements, steady, stock, trading, treasuries, treasury, turmoil, valuation, window, year-end, yield
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