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Tag Archives: prediction
Why the S&P 500 should fall another 10% to 20%.
The risk of being so right in one’s projections (I called this meltdown months ago) is you begin to second guess yourself – maybe now I should turn bullish? The recent rally (which I covered in my “It’s a Trap” … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, coronavirus, correction, earnings, forecast, Index, maverickinvestors, prediction, price-to-earnings, S&P 500, stock market
2 Comments
How to predict the future – on the back of an envelope!
Fortune telling isn’t as difficult as you might think. A good prognosticor will combine some highly probable occurances (“you will meet someone”) with some razzle dazzle (“and become romantically involved”). Forecasting the stock market is easy enough as well. A … Continue reading
Inflation, Gold & Scotland
I am at the CFA Conference in beautiful Edinburg, Scotland. A survey of the large body (1200 delegates from all over the world) asking what is your biggest worry – got “inflation” as the overwhelming response. I consider (based on … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged Asia, bullish, CFA.inflation, china, conference, forecast, gold, investors, mal, market, maverick, prediction, resources, Scotland, spooner, stock
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US$ breakout, inflation no issue, it’s all about interest rates.
Ahead of the herd – So I managed to predict the inevitable drop in the oil price (see old postings), foretold the crunch in commodites generally, and am ‘about’ (crossing my fingers) to get my forecast (I posted on March 8th posting) … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged analyst, attributes, best, bonds, breakout, CFA.companies, commodity, currency, durable, factors, forecast, gold, goods, growth, inflation, interest, investors, ISM, long-term debt, mal, malvin, market, maverick, momentum, money, oil, prediction, price gain, quality, rates, s working, silver, spooner, stock, US$, what
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Stocks retreat 1 day later-am I that good?
I am not that good – but the press sure is – the Wall Street Journal discovers a Bull Market a year later, and then: “April 5 (Bloomberg) — China raised interest rates for the fourth time since the end … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, china, economy, interest, Japan, market, maverick, opportunities, prediction, rates, stock, subprime, tsunami
1 Comment
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