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Tag Archives: asset
What is the downside for S&P 500?
For those who follow my rants, you’ll recall (okay, you probably won’t recall) my proprietary method of estimating where the S&P 500 Index should be headed. If you scan very old posts of mine, you’ll notice that this has served … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts, stocks Tagged asset, forecast, Index, stock market 2 Comments
China? No need for worry in the year of the snake!
It’s the year of the snake, which seems appropriate since everyone is worried about the slowing of the Chinese economy. In previous posts, I’ve described why the economic course of action China has adopted is brilliant – the country’s only … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged asset, BofA Merrill, china, class, confidence, country, direct, economic, economy, foreign, fund, growth, hedge, investment, investor, mal, malvin, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors, money, policy, security, sentiment, slowed, slowing, spooner, survey, U.S.$, US$ Leave a comment
Stocks & Bonds…the next 100 years.
Trying to determine investment strategy hinges on a seemingly impossible exercize. Namely, predicting what the world will be like. The most important metrics are interest rates and real rates of return for the more critical asset class alternatives. Despite our … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged 21st, 500, allianz, allocation, allocators, analysts, asset, behavioral, bonds, century, class, economic, economy, equations, equities, europe, fixed, forecast, france, Germany, global, growth, income, italy, Japan, long-term, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, math, maverickinvestors.com, mix, models, outlook, portfolio, premium, quantitative, rates, real, return, risk, s&p, S&P500, short-term, spooner, stocks, Switzerland, treasury, U.S.$, US$, volatility, wizards, World 2 Comments
AAPL Sauce – The downside of upside!
Back in July I published a commentary warning about the perils of following the herd into a much loved stock. The risk is not disimilar to my previous post concerning the current love affair of investors in general with bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged aapl, apple, asset, bonds, buyers, class, earnings, herd, investor, investors, iPad, iPod, malvin, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, motorola, MSI, price, probabilities, research in motion, rim, risk, sellers, sentiment, spooner, stock 3 Comments
Where to shove your Risk Budget!
I was watching business television and an articulate gentleman, the top dog for a rather large retirement fund, was the guest. Perhaps I’ve been living too long in a cocoon, but while discussing the current investment strategy of this large … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged asset, bernanke, budget, china, classes, consultant's, correlation, covariance, covariances, diversification, dividends, downgrades, earnings, econometrics, economic, efficient, estimate, estimates, europe, expected, funding, growth, institutional, investors, liabilities, malvin, malvinspooner, market, markets, markowitz, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, models, pension, portfolio, quantify, research, retirement, return, returns, revisions, risk, spooner, stock, tolerance, twist, U.S.$, valuation 1 Comment
Ride the Kentucky Bourbon Trail – Investment Research?
I have friends who take great pleasure in discussing the latest wine releases, and some who have built temperature and humidity-controlled rooms in their homes to store hundreds of bottles of wine they’ve collected. More surprising, I recently read that … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged angel's envy, asset, bourbon, class, cleveland, columbus, cycle, disterilleries, distillery, German, Hall of Fame, Harley, Harley-Davidson, investment, investments, kentucky, lexington, maker's mark, makers, malvin, Man-O-War, mark, maverick, maverickinvestors, maverickinvestors.com, ohio, old, pappy, R&R, reiser's, research, rock & roll, Schmidt's, spooner, Springer, tour, trail, van, Village, vintage, wine, winkle, woodford 2 Comments
Behavioural psychologists DON’T understand investment industry.
Most people would agree with the following statement by celebrated behavioural psychologist Daniel Kahneman – from his best selling book describing new insights into how good and bad decisions are made: “Why do investors, both amateur and professional, stubbornly believe … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged asset, behaviour, capital, cramer, daniel kahneman, data, decision, decision-making, economic, efficient, fast, finance, financial, frontier, growth, Information, investment, mal, malvin, market, markets, mathematics, maverick, maverickinvestor, maverickinvestors.com, model, momentum, portfolio, prices, pricing, profits, psychologists, psychology, slow, spooner, statistics, stock, theory, thinking, thought, value 2 Comments
Out with the Treasuries, in with Corporates!!!
Is it time to gravitate towards U.S. corporate bonds and get out from the behind the sanctuary of treasuries? Many argue that the recent drift upwards of the benchmark 10-year treasury yield is a blip. Others believe that it is … Continue reading
Fund flows point to continued strength in global equity markets!
Back in September I suggested that my favourite contrary leading indicator – the weighting devoted to equities by institutional investors – was pointing to an imminent rally in stock markets. Once again it proved robust. But what’s happened since then? … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged active, allocation, asset, assets, balanced, bonds, britain, cash, crisis, debt, diversification, equities, eurozone, fund, funds, indicators, industry, investor, investors, ISM, lemmings, mal, malvin, management, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mix, money, mutual, passive, professional, sovereign, spooner, stocks, weight, yield 1 Comment