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Tag Archives: 500
The Day After – Catalyst for resumption of Bull Market will be a surprise!
I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable. Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%. It is likely to get worse before it gets better? My own estimation was … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, china, commodity, consumption, corporate, correction, countries, crude, debt, demand, earnings, economies, economy, energy, estimates, factory, finance, global, growth, India, inflation, investment, investors, Iran, Iraq, january effect, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.comfuel, oil, oil-producing, OPEC, production, productivity, profitability, profits, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stocks, supply, Syria, tapering, wti
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First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
8 Comments
Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!
Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, Canfor, correlation, data, earnings, energy, errors, estimates, excess, financial, ford, forest, investors, Kerkorian, market, materials, Morgan Stanley, optimistic, paper, pessimistic, predicted, products, quantitative, rally, return, s&p, sectors, shock, stock, surprise, tech, telecom
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Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!
Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, Canfor, correlation, data, earnings, energy, errors, estimates, excess, financial, ford, forest, investors, Kerkorian, market, materials, Morgan Stanley, optimistic, paper, pessimistic, predicted, products, quantitative, rally, return, s&p, sectors, shock, stock, surprise, tech, telecom
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“We’ve been expecting a sell-off because..” What BUNK!
Well I just have to laugh-out-loud. We know what the market is doing: NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock futures fell sharply on Thursday, along with Asian and European equities as well as gold prices and bonds after the Federal … Continue reading
China will be the next big surprise!
China was all the rage for a short while, but despite chugging along at a premium growth rate to the rest of the world, investors have pretty much focussed on other markets – the U.S. of course but Japan as well of … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, america, bonds, boom, china, commodities, composite, corporate, crisis, dividends, economies, economy, energy, europe, exports, fertilizer, financial, funds, GDP, global, hedge, industrial, inflation, institutional, investing, investors, Japan, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, monetary, north, production, profitability, resources, retail, s&p, sales, shanghai, spooner, steel, stimulus, stock, strategists, surprises, U.S.$, US$
6 Comments
BONDS – Where we go from here! (And what about equities?)
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
BONDS – Where we go from here!
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in bonds, Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
High Consumer Confidence is bad news for stock market!
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor is rising strength in the jobs market. The consumer confidence … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bearish, bubble, bullish, confidence, consumer, economy, employment, equities, finance, housing, Index, indicator, interest, investors, mal, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money.ca, overvalued, prices, rates, risk, s&p, spooner, unemployment
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